Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
ACA
4 - 1
MAR
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ESP
4 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 2
BOA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
SPB
0 - 0
SLB
24%
27%
50%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
POR
3 - 2
SPB
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 1
ESP
66%
21%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
BOA
0 - 2
SPB
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
SPB
2 - 0
VAR
56%
25%
19%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |