Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
13.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
0 - 2
BEL
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
2 - 4
SLB
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
UFT
2 - 1
ACA
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
29%
27%
45%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
SPB
3 - 3
UFT
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
0 - 0
SPB
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1975 |
SPB
0 - 0
VST
27%
29%
43%
|
58 | 84 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
VIT
1 - 2
SPB
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |