Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
87%
9%
5%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
LEX
1 - 1
ACA
41%
24%
36%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
2 - 1
FCB
79%
13%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
BMA
1 - 5
ACA
42%
24%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
34%
24%
42%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1966 |
SPB
3 - 2
VST
40%
25%
35%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1965 |
VIT
6 - 2
SPB
77%
15%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1965 |
SLB
4 - 1
SPB
91%
6%
3%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 1965 |
SPB
1 - 1
LEX
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |