Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
24.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
4 - 2
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
ACA
2 - 1
VST
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
TOR
2 - 0
ACA
52%
21%
26%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 4
FAB
67%
16%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
72%
16%
12%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 3
SCP
22%
21%
57%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
0 - 2
LGC
68%
16%
15%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1955 |
SPB
4 - 1
CAL
80%
13%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1955 |
FCB
7 - 0
SPB
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1955 |
SPB
2 - 3
SLB
24%
22%
55%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |