Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
BEL
6 - 2
ACA
74%
15%
11%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
50%
23%
28%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
FAB
1 - 1
ACA
62%
19%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
ACA
2 - 1
BOA
58%
19%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
BOA
6 - 1
ACA
63%
18%
19%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
SPB
4 - 0
FCB
57%
21%
22%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1954 |
FCP
1 - 1
SPB
78%
13%
9%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1954 |
SPB
2 - 2
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1954 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
48%
23%
29%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 May. 1954 |
BEL
4 - 1
SPB
76%
14%
10%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |