Académica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
17.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
VIT
3 - 1
ACA
50%
21%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
2 - 0
ORI
73%
14%
13%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
EST
5 - 3
ACA
64%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
56%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 4
SPB
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1951 |
SPB
1 - 6
SLB
17%
19%
64%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
ATL
2 - 2
SPB
70%
16%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
SPB
0 - 0
SPC
50%
21%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
FCP
6 - 1
SPB
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |