Académica vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.5%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.3%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.2%
10.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
ACA
3 - 4
SCP
30%
20%
50%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
FCP
3 - 2
ACA
82%
10%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
BEL
5 - 0
ACA
80%
11%
9%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
ACA
3 - 4
SLB
39%
21%
40%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
ACA
5 - 2
FCP
36%
19%
45%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1943 |
BEL
3 - 2
OLH
90%
7%
4%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 1
OLH
69%
16%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1943 |
SCP
4 - 1
OLH
90%
6%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -2 |
| 16 May. 1943 |
UNI
2 - 0
OLH
70%
15%
15%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1943 |
OLH
4 - 3
VIT
49%
20%
32%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |