Académica vs CD Santa Clara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ACA
0 - 0
MOR
44%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 1
ACA
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2014 |
ACA
2 - 2
EST
28%
29%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
ACA
15%
25%
60%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
37%
29%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Santa Clara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SAN
0 - 0
AVE
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 1
SAN
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 1
SAN
21%
23%
56%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
VSC
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |