Académica vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
13.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SPB
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ACA
2 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 0
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
SAL
2 - 3
VIT
48%
23%
29%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 1
SAL
78%
13%
9%
|
55 | 88 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 0
FCB
65%
19%
17%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
BEL
8 - 1
SAL
85%
10%
5%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 1
SPC
57%
21%
22%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |