Taça de Portugal Last 16
Global 13-3
Académica vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4.4%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
17.6%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
12.9%
12%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
3 - 1
ACA
84%
10%
6%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 9
VST
67%
16%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
1 - 5
ACA
65%
17%
18%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
18%
62%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
ATL
8 - 0
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1944 |
SAL
3 - 5
VST
51%
21%
28%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1944 |
VIT
2 - 1
SAL
64%
18%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1944 |
OLH
5 - 1
SAL
77%
13%
10%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1944 |
BEL
5 - 1
SAL
89%
7%
4%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
1 - 5
SCP
8%
12%
80%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |