Académica vs SC Salgueiros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.3%
14.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
OLH
8 - 2
ACA
76%
13%
11%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
40%
20%
40%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
BEL
26%
20%
55%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
59%
19%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SC Salgueiros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1944 |
SAL
0 - 5
FCP
29%
20%
51%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
SAL
92%
6%
3%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SAL
0 - 3
ATL
49%
21%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
VST
2 - 1
SAL
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SAL
2 - 2
VIT
64%
17%
19%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |