Académica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 1
OLH
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
FCP
1 - 0
ACA
68%
20%
11%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SCP
1 - 2
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
ACA
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
1 - 2
PAÇ
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIO
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
LEX
48%
28%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SPB
0 - 0
RIO
68%
21%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VST
2 - 2
RIO
44%
29%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |