Académica vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
ACA
0 - 0
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAM
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
LEC
1 - 0
ACA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 1997 |
ACA
0 - 1
EST
48%
28%
25%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
RIO
3 - 0
VST
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
CAM
4 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
RIO
2 - 2
LEC
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
EST
1 - 2
RIO
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1997 |
RIO
0 - 0
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |