Académica vs Porto II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ACA
1 - 0
REA
65%
23%
13%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FAM
1 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
35%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ACA
0 - 2
OLI
64%
23%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ARO
1 - 0
ACA
44%
28%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Porto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
SCP
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
UNM
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
VAR
3 - 1
POR
29%
28%
44%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
REA
0 - 0
POR
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
POR
3 - 0
SPC
55%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |