Académica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDL
0 - 2
ACA
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
GFC
4 - 3
ACA
51%
25%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 2
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
AVE
1 - 2
ACA
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
PEN
2 - 2
PAÇ
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
VST
2 - 0
PEN
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
1 - 2
NAC
27%
28%
44%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2006 |
SLB
4 - 0
PEN
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
PEN
3 - 2
MAR
28%
30%
43%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |