Académica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
19.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SAL
2 - 0
ACA
52%
27%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
ACA
0 - 1
SLB
13%
24%
63%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
SPC
0 - 1
ACA
52%
26%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
ACA
1 - 1
VST
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
PEN
3 - 0
SPB
36%
32%
33%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
CHA
1 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
PEN
1 - 0
AVE
40%
30%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1985 |
PEN
0 - 1
POR
41%
33%
26%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
SAL
0 - 0
PEN
54%
26%
20%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |