Académica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
AMO
6 - 0
ACA
55%
25%
19%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
ACA
1 - 0
POR
50%
28%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1980 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
90%
8%
3%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
ACA
1 - 2
SPB
48%
28%
25%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1980 |
VAR
2 - 0
ACA
63%
24%
13%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
PEN
2 - 1
VST
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
AMO
3 - 1
PEN
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
PEN
1 - 0
BEL
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
POR
2 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
PEN
0 - 2
SCP
12%
20%
68%
|
62 | 87 | 25 | 0 |