Académica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
SPB
5 - 0
ACA
64%
22%
15%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 5
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
VST
0 - 1
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BMA
0 - 2
ACA
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
20%
25%
55%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2011 |
ARO
2 - 3
PAÇ
36%
25%
39%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
PAÇ
0 - 3
FCP
20%
24%
57%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
VIT
1 - 1
PAÇ
57%
25%
19%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
OLH
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SCP
1 - 0
PAÇ
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |