Académica vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
SAN
0 - 0
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 1
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 1
FCP
20%
24%
56%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
VST
3 - 1
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
ACA
2 - 2
NAC
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FCP
20%
25%
55%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
VST
0 - 2
PAÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
3 - 3
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 1
PAÇ
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2003 |
UDL
1 - 0
PAÇ
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |