Académica vs Ovarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.7%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
PEN
3 - 3
ACA
35%
27%
38%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
ACA
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
1 - 2
SAL
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ACA
2 - 1
FEL
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
MOR
2 - 0
ACA
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Ovarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
5 - 0
AVE
51%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
OVA
2 - 2
CHA
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 0
OVA
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
OVA
0 - 1
UNI
56%
23%
21%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
RIO
1 - 1
OVA
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |