Académica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
12.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
61%
20%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
40%
24%
35%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
CAL
1 - 0
ACA
46%
23%
32%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ACA
8 - 1
FAB
70%
16%
14%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
FCP
5 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
1 - 1
TOR
56%
21%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1956 |
FCB
0 - 1
ORI
66%
18%
16%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
2 - 1
VST
52%
21%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ORI
3 - 1
LGC
48%
22%
30%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ATL
0 - 1
ORI
72%
15%
13%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |