Académica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACA
64%
18%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
ACA
3 - 1
BOA
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
BEL
3 - 3
ACA
74%
16%
11%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 2
VST
55%
21%
25%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
54%
22%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ORI
0 - 0
SLB
10%
15%
75%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
FCB
1 - 1
ORI
69%
17%
15%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
ORI
2 - 2
VIT
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1953 |
ORI
1 - 1
SPC
53%
22%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1953 |
ATL
6 - 2
ORI
69%
16%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |