Académica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
14%
12.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
EST
5 - 3
ACA
64%
18%
19%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
25%
19%
56%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 0
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Oriental Lisboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 2
ORI
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1951 |
ORI
3 - 5
ATL
40%
23%
38%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SPC
0 - 0
ORI
71%
15%
14%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ORI
2 - 3
FCP
22%
21%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 3
ORI
72%
15%
14%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |