Académica vs Oriental Lisboa analysis


61	ELO	59
34.3%	Tilt	31.9%
4043º	General ELO ranking	8120º
59º	Country ELO ranking	177º
ELO win probability

76.3%

Académica

12.9%

Draw

10.9%

Oriental Lisboa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

76.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%

12.8%

Draw

0-0

1.1%

1-1

4.5%

2-2

4.6%

3-3

2%

4-4

0.5%

5-5

0.1%

0

12.8%

10.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-12%

-2%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches