Académica vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
21.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
LEX
0 - 1
ACA
47%
27%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
SCP
21%
26%
52%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2009 |
PAÇ
1 - 1
ACA
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 3
FCP
17%
23%
60%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SLB
0 - 1
ACA
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 0
EST
45%
28%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
VIT
1 - 0
NAV
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
0 - 1
RIO
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2009 |
NAV
1 - 0
LEX
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
SCP
3 - 1
NAV
75%
17%
9%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |