Académica vs Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
25.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
EST
3 - 2
ACA
41%
28%
32%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 1
FCP
18%
26%
56%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
VIT
1 - 1
ACA
55%
25%
20%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
0 - 2
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 0
PEN
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
NAV
1 - 0
PAÇ
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VST
4 - 1
NAV
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
NAV
3 - 1
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAV
72%
19%
9%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
NAV
2 - 0
MAR
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |