Académica vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2009 |
ACA
0 - 0
LEX
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SCP
0 - 0
ACA
74%
17%
9%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ACA
2 - 1
PAÇ
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2008 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
72%
19%
10%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
16%
24%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
NAC
2 - 4
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2008 |
SLB
0 - 0
NAC
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
TRO
2 - 4
NAC
31%
27%
42%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 2
BEL
46%
27%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
SPB
1 - 0
NAC
60%
24%
16%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |