Académica vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BOA
2 - 2
ACA
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 1
BEL
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAV
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
VST
1 - 1
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ACA
2 - 2
MAR
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 2
RAP
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
1 - 0
VST
57%
23%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
RAP
1 - 0
NAC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
NAC
0 - 1
SCP
26%
25%
49%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |