Académica vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
FCP
4 - 1
ACA
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
BOA
0 - 0
ACA
61%
24%
16%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
VIT
1 - 2
ACA
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
UDL
0 - 2
ACA
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 2
VIT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
NAC
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
NAC
0 - 2
UDL
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SCP
2 - 0
NAC
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
NAC
4 - 0
EST
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | +1 |