Académica vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
EST
0 - 3
ACA
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
AVE
1 - 3
ACA
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
OLI
2 - 4
ACA
29%
24%
48%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
ACA
3 - 1
CHA
57%
23%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
ESP
1 - 4
ACA
36%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
AVE
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
CHA
1 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2001 |
NAC
3 - 1
ESP
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2001 |
UNI
0 - 3
NAC
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
NAC
2 - 0
RIO
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |