Académica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOA
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
BEL
2 - 1
ACA
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 1
SPB
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1979 |
ACA
4 - 0
COV
76%
14%
10%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
85%
11%
4%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1979 |
MAR
4 - 1
VST
38%
29%
33%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
1 - 0
BEL
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
SPB
3 - 0
MAR
70%
19%
11%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLB
9%
19%
72%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
MAR
0 - 1
FCP
12%
20%
69%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | -1 |