Académica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 1
POR
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ESP
4 - 1
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
ACA
3 - 2
BOA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VAR
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
MAR
0 - 4
SCP
8%
16%
76%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
SLB
6 - 0
MAR
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
MAR
1 - 0
RIO
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
POR
0 - 0
MAR
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
MAR
3 - 0
FEI
66%
21%
13%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |