Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
Académica vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
30.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1970 |
ACA
5 - 1
LEX
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 0
IPS
70%
19%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1970 |
WOL
1 - 3
MAC
46%
26%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
ARS
60%
23%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 1
NTT
65%
21%
15%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1970 |
WBA
3 - 0
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |