Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-1
Académica vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
26%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1969 |
BOA
2 - 2
ACA
21%
26%
53%
|
78 | 54 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1969 |
ACA
1 - 0
FAB
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 0
ACA
67%
18%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1969 |
LEX
1 - 0
ACA
24%
28%
49%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1969 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 0
ACA
67%
18%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1969 |
MAG
1 - 1
SGD
62%
21%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1969 |
ZWI
2 - 1
MAG
48%
26%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1969 |
MAG
3 - 1
CHE
65%
21%
15%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1969 |
ERF
2 - 1
MAG
42%
25%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |