Académica vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
3.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.9%
9.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
FCP
7 - 1
ACA
75%
13%
13%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
1 - 4
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
VIT
3 - 2
ACA
69%
16%
15%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
SLB
5 - 0
ACA
88%
7%
5%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
ACA
0 - 4
BEL
23%
20%
57%
|
59 | 86 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1948 |
LUS
2 - 7
SLB
6%
11%
83%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1947 |
BEL
5 - 0
LUS
93%
5%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 1
SPB
25%
21%
55%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1947 |
OLH
1 - 1
LUS
88%
8%
4%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1947 |
LUS
2 - 0
BOA
47%
22%
31%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +2 |