Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
19.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
SPB
2 - 0
ACA
53%
22%
26%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
77%
14%
10%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
ACA
8 - 1
LEX
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
SCP
2 - 1
ACA
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
LGC
2 - 1
FAB
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
ATL
3 - 1
LGC
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
LGC
0 - 0
SPC
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
SLB
5 - 3
LGC
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1959 |
LGC
1 - 0
BOA
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |