Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
SPB
1 - 3
ACA
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
FCP
4 - 2
ACA
81%
12%
8%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
ACA
1 - 1
CAL
79%
13%
8%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
FCB
4 - 1
ACA
46%
23%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
ACA
3 - 1
ORI
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1957 |
LGC
0 - 2
FCP
29%
23%
48%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1957 |
CAL
1 - 0
LGC
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
LGC
3 - 1
FCB
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1957 |
ORI
2 - 1
LGC
31%
24%
45%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
LGC
4 - 0
SLB
22%
21%
57%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | +2 |