Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
22.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
ACA
4 - 0
TOR
67%
17%
16%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 3
ACA
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
VST
61%
19%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ORI
0 - 2
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
ACA
2 - 0
ATL
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1957 |
CAL
2 - 2
LGC
44%
23%
33%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
LGC
2 - 0
TOR
63%
19%
19%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
FAB
5 - 3
LGC
49%
22%
29%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
LGC
3 - 2
FCB
62%
20%
18%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
FCP
7 - 1
LGC
78%
13%
10%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |