Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
18.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
CAL
2 - 1
ACA
44%
23%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
ACA
3 - 1
FCB
64%
19%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
4 - 0
ACA
85%
10%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
ACA
4 - 1
SPB
55%
21%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
ATL
4 - 2
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 1
SCP
20%
19%
61%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
SPC
1 - 0
LGC
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
CAL
3 - 1
LGC
42%
23%
35%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
LGC
1 - 1
FCB
61%
19%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1955 |
SLB
1 - 1
LGC
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | +1 |