Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 1
ACA
90%
7%
4%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
30%
21%
49%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 1
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1953 |
LGC
0 - 2
SLB
22%
20%
58%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 0
FCP
41%
23%
36%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
FCP
4 - 1
LGC
81%
12%
8%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
SCP
2 - 2
LGC
89%
7%
4%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
LGC
4 - 1
SPB
61%
18%
21%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |