Académica vs Lusitano GC Évora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
22.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
ACA
3 - 0
VST
57%
20%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
FCB
2 - 2
ACA
59%
20%
21%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 3
BOA
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
FCP
2 - 1
ACA
77%
13%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
ACA
1 - 0
VIT
75%
14%
11%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano GC Évora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1952 |
FCB
4 - 1
LGC
53%
21%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
LGC
3 - 0
FCP
26%
22%
52%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
SPB
1 - 1
LGC
44%
23%
33%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
LGC
0 - 3
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1952 |
BEL
3 - 0
LGC
76%
14%
11%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |