Académica vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
3º
8º
5º
23
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 30 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
24 | 24 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
16 | 16 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 9 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ACA
1 - 1
FEL
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
43%
26%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 2
ACA
31%
27%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
ACA
0 - 0
ALV
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ATL
1 - 3
ACA
47%
25%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
LUS
2 - 2
SPC
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 3
LUS
27%
29%
44%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ALV
3 - 1
LUS
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
LUS
3 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 2
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |