Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1975 |
BOA
4 - 2
ACA
73%
18%
10%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
FAB
0 - 0
ACA
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 0
SPB
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
FAR
3 - 0
ACA
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
LEX
3 - 1
UFT
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
FCP
8 - 2
LEX
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1975 |
LEX
1 - 1
VST
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
VIT
4 - 1
LEX
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1975 |
LEX
1 - 1
EST
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |