Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
BOA
2 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ACA
0 - 3
VST
29%
28%
44%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1973 |
FCB
1 - 0
ACA
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
FCB
3 - 1
ACA
56%
21%
24%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
ACA
2 - 0
FCB
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
LEX
0 - 3
SCP
16%
27%
57%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
SLB
3 - 0
LEX
89%
8%
3%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
LEX
0 - 2
VIT
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1973 |
VIT
2 - 1
LEX
62%
23%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
LEX
1 - 1
FAR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |