Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
3 - 0
BEL
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
VIT
4 - 0
ACA
53%
24%
24%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
32%
27%
41%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VAR
2 - 2
ACA
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
ACA
1 - 2
FCP
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 0
UFT
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1970 |
BEL
1 - 0
LEX
63%
23%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
LEX
1 - 3
VST
19%
27%
54%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
VIT
2 - 0
LEX
74%
17%
9%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPB
53%
26%
21%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |