Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
ACA
59%
21%
20%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
ACA
2 - 1
VST
57%
22%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
16%
20%
64%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
OLH
3 - 0
ACA
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 2
BEL
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1963 |
LGC
1 - 2
LEX
50%
23%
28%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1963 |
LEX
0 - 0
FCB
75%
16%
9%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1963 |
SCP
6 - 0
LEX
82%
11%
7%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
LEX
1 - 0
VIT
56%
21%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |