Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
86%
9%
5%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACA
7 - 1
BMA
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 1
FAB
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ATL
3 - 0
ACA
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
LEX
2 - 1
SPC
73%
16%
11%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
OLH
0 - 0
LEX
55%
22%
24%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
LEX
5 - 0
SAL
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
BEL
6 - 3
LEX
71%
16%
13%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
SCP
5 - 0
LEX
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |