Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
4.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
2.5%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
7.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
6%
6-2
2.1%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
15.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.3%
7%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
7%
4.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
7 - 2
FAB
70%
15%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
4 - 2
ACA
22%
20%
59%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
3 - 3
ACA
21%
20%
60%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1942 |
VIT
4 - 3
ACA
50%
20%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 1942 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
34%
21%
45%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
LEX
0 - 0
OLH
50%
21%
29%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
6 - 0
LEX
38%
21%
41%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -4 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LEX
3 - 0
LUS
92%
5%
2%
|
55 | 8 | 47 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1940 |
FCP
10 - 3
LEX
89%
7%
4%
|
55 | 87 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 12
FCP
26%
21%
54%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | -1 |