Académica vs Leixões analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.48
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
10.5%
7.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 1
FCB
66%
17%
17%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
FCP
6 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
CAR
74%
14%
12%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1940 |
CAR
0 - 4
ACA
46%
22%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Leixões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
LEX
1 - 3
BEL
25%
21%
54%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
LEX
2 - 9
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
7 - 2
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
FCP
5 - 1
LEX
94%
4%
2%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
FCB
4 - 1
LEX
68%
17%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |