Académica vs Gil Vicente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2005 |
BOA
2 - 1
ACA
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
ACA
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 1
VST
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 2
ACA
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
ACA
0 - 0
SLB
24%
25%
52%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Gil Vicente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
GFC
2 - 0
PAÇ
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
VST
1 - 0
GFC
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 1
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 2
GFC
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
GFC
1 - 0
MAR
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |